The forecast released on Saturday also shows that Move Forward may win 19 seats and Bhumjaithai 10. Trailing at eight expected seats is United Thai Nation Party (UTNP), which is fielding Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha.
The forecast was based on an opinion poll conducted from April 10 to 20 among 162,454 voters nationwide. The question they were asked was “Which political party do Thai voters like?”
The votes and party-list MP forecast was as follows:
Pheu Thai: 41.37% (41 party-list MPs)
Move Forward: 19.32% (19)
Bhumjaithai: 9.55% (10)
UTNP: 8.48% (8)
Palang Pracharath: 7.49% (8)
Democrat: 7.30% (7)
Thai Sang Thai: 2.41% (2)
Thai Liberal Party: 1.74% (2)
Chart Thai Pattana: 1.25% (1)
As of December 2022, Thailand has 52.32 million eligible voters nationwide, according to the Department of Provincial Administration.
The Election Commission expects an 80% turnout with at least 41.85 million voters casting their ballot in the upcoming election.
Thailand’s House of Representatives has 500 elected members, of which 400 are elected through single-member constituency elections and 100 are elected through party lists parallel voting.