Chinese builders scramble for ways to avoid bond defaults

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 12, 2021
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Chinese builders are looking to payment extensions or debt exchanges to avoid default on imminent bond obligations as liquidity conditions tighten for the real estate sector.

Modern Land (China) is asking holders for a three-month extension on $250 million dollar bond due to mature Oct. 25 while also announcing two top executives plan to loan the builder about $125 million. Xinyuan Real Estate has proposed paying just 5% of principal on a note due Oct. 15 and swapping that debt for bonds due 2023. Fitch Ratings called the move a distressed debt exchange while downgrading the firm to C.

Modern Land and Xinyuan respectively have $1.35 billion and $760 million of dollar bonds outstanding, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. In comparison, China Evergrande Group has $19.2 billion.

Beijing's clampdown on the real estate sector and uncertainty over Evergrande's future have sent the nation's dollar junk bond yields soaring to their highest in about a decade. That debt market, dominated by developers, saw notes fall as much as 10 cents on the dollar Monday, according to credit traders.

Rising borrowing costs have increased refinancing risks as firms may struggle to access the offshore bond market. That could trigger a wave of defaults across the real estate sector. Property firms' missed payments have made up 36% of the record $27.2 billion (175 billion yuan) in onshore corporate bond defaults this year, Bloomberg-compiled data show.

Still, for borrowers that can afford it, the selloff may also provide an opportunity to buy back bonds at deep discount and help shore up balance sheets. Yuzhou Group Holdings' chairman recently bought $5.6 million of the company's dollar notes through his associates, according to a filing last week.

In the meantime, investors are still waiting for clarity from Evergrande over a potential restructuring or solution for its liquidity crisis which some analysts say could drag on for months. Some of the firm's bondholders fear Evergrande may sell assets that they're counting on to back up their claims if the company collapses. It has $148 million due Monday involving three dollar-bond coupons, Bloomberg-compiled data show, after having given no signs it made interest payments expected in September.

More defaults from Chinese property firms are expected under Beijing's deleveraging campaign, said Kenneth Ho, Goldman Sachs Group's head of Asia credit strategy. The sector "needs some kind of policy change in order to restore confidence."